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《财富》2019全球大预言(4)

现在已经是电视的黄金时代。接下来会是什么?白金时代吗?2019年,电视迷终于可以享受苹果公司带来的新福利了,作为iPhone的制造商,苹果资金充裕的视频业务已经上线(最新传闻是对苹果设备用户免费)。这个消息的爆炸性不如苹果在内容领域的上一次尝试,也就是“App之战”,前提是没有瑞茜·威瑟斯彭、史蒂文·斯皮尔伯格、达米恩·查泽雷等一众好莱坞天才参与的话。但我们认为不会出现和《权力的游戏》同等水平的大作。乔布斯打造的这家公司将严守PG-13级(即13岁以下慎看)红线。

电竞赛事登陆黄金时段,但不会超过板球

2018年的英雄联盟季中冠军赛观看人数达到创纪录的6000万人次。2019年,预计英雄联盟全球总决赛将吸引逾1亿观众。足球方面,美国女足的人气和成绩将让女足世界杯全球观赛人数突破8亿。但和板球世界杯相比,这两个数字都是小巫见大巫。虽然不是美国的热门项目,但明年的板球世界杯观看人数仍将高达20亿。

 

Boston in the Finals

The stars will align for Boston as its NFL, NBA, and MLB teams each make their respective finals. The New England Patriots will meet the Vikings in Super Bowl LIII. (We made the same prediction last year, but we’re sure of it this time.) The red-hot Red Sox will carry their World Series–winning ways into next season, thanks to their talented young roster. They’ll face the Milwaukee Brewers who are the surprise package of the National League. With LeBron James out of the East, the Boston Celtics finally have a route to the NBA Finals, but they’ll have to face a Golden State Warriors team who are stronger than they’ve ever been.

A New Front in the Streaming Wars

We’re already in the Golden Age of Television. What comes next? The Platinum Age? In 2019, TV lovers will finally get the added benefit of Apple’s beneficence, as the iPhone maker’s well-funded video service arrives (for free to Apple device owners, according to the latest rumors). And this won’t bomb like Apple’s last attempt at content, “Battle of the Apps.” Not with Reese Witherspoon, Steven Spielberg, Damien Chazelle, and a bevy of other Hollywood talent on board. But don’t expect any Game of Thrones–level gore. It’s strictly PG-13 fare at the House that Jobs built.

E-sport Viewership Goes Prime Time But Won’t Beat Out Cricket

A record-breaking 60 million people watched the League of Legends Mid-Season Invitational finals match this year. In 2019, expect the League of Legends World Championship to garner over 100 million viewers. In soccer, the popularity and success of the U.S. women’s national team will push global Women’s World Cup viewership over 800 million. But both will pale in comparison to the Cricket World Cup, which, while not a big draw in the States, will see a massive 2 billion viewers next year.

 

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新星

 

Rising Stars

 

图片来源:Courtesy of Netflix

哈桑·明哈杰

喜剧演员

Netflix制作的《哈桑·明哈杰:爱国者有话说》节目共32集,2018年10月首次播出,将在2019年延续很长时间。

 

Hasan Minahj

Comedian

Netflix made a 32-¬episode order for Daily Show–alum Minhaj’s Patriot Act, which debuted Oct. 28 and will run well into 2019.

 

图片来源:Charley Gallay—Getty Images for Pandora

Lizzo

歌手

我们将听到Lizzo的首张专辑,她会通过音乐和社交媒体来倡导多样性以及电臀舞。

 

Lizzo

Musician

We’ll be listening to the debut album from Lizzo, who celebrates diversity—and twerking—through her music and social media.

 

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